Archive - Aligned Foresight

Is Trump Normal?

A point of view from the cutting edge of A.I.

Feb 4 •

Eric Bolton

and

Beel Sarwar

5

1

November 2024

Who Will Win?

Our forecast, based on a meta-analysis of prediction markets

Nov 5, 2024 •

Eric Bolton

1

October 2024

Were the Debates Scripted?

Using language models to assess the predictability of Harris, Trump, Vance, and Walz's debate remarks.

Oct 26, 2024 •

Eric Bolton

and

Beel Sarwar

1

September 2024

Forecasting Democracy

Measuring today's politics, and predicting tomorrow's.

Sep 16, 2024 •

Eric Bolton

1

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